Transmission rate:

Note: "transmission rate" here is a measure of speed of spread of infection, and means how much of the susceptible population each infected person is infecting per day (if everyone is susceptible). E.g. 10% means that 100 infected patients will infect 10 new people per day. Related to R0. See Methodology for details of calculation.

⭕ Bad news: new waves 🇰🇿 🇱🇺 🇨🇭 🇯🇵 🇫🇷 🇷🇸 🇩🇿 🇮🇱 🇦🇹 🇨🇷 🇲🇱

Large increase in transmission rate vs. 10 days ago, that might mean a relapse, new wave, worsening outbreak.

Countries are sorted by size of change in transmission rate.
Includes only countries that were previously active (more than 100 estimated new cases).
"Large increase" = at least +2% change.

	Current: Estimated daily transmission rate	10 days ago: Estimated daily transmission rate	Estimated recent cases in last 5 days	Estimated current ICU need per 100k population	Estimated total affected population percentage
🇰🇿 Kazakhstan	34.1%	8.2%	41,035	4.70	0.5%
🇱🇺 Luxembourg	10.9%	5.9%	550	2.49	2.1%
🇨🇭 Switzerland	8.8%	4.0%	2,387	0.63	2.0%
🇯🇵 Japan	8.3%	4.5%	2,316	0.11	0.0%
🇫🇷 France	8.1%	4.5%	33,164	0.93	3.9%
🇷🇸 Serbia	9.2%	5.6%	2,535	1.70	0.4%
🇩🇿 Algeria	8.5%	5.0%	23,768	0.20	0.6%
🇮🇱 Israel	10.7%	7.8%	7,036	3.19	0.7%
🇦🇹 Austria	7.6%	4.8%	1,092	0.57	0.7%
🇨🇷 Costa Rica	11.1%	8.4%	1,042	1.45	0.1%
🇲🇱 Mali	4.6%	2.4%	3,260	0.02	0.3%

Tip: Click country name in legend to switch countries. Uze mouse wheel to zoom Y axis.

🟢 Good news: slowing waves 🇵🇸 🇲🇦 🇭🇷 🇲🇷 🇳🇪 🇱🇷 🇨🇴 🇨🇳 🇨🇩 🇨🇮 🇭🇳

Large decrease in transmission rate vs. 10 days ago, that might mean a slowing down / effective control measures.

Countries are sorted by size of change in transmission rate.
Includes only countries that were previously active (more than 100 estimated new cases).
"Large decrease" = at least -2% change.

	Current: Estimated daily transmission rate	10 days ago: Estimated daily transmission rate	Estimated recent cases in last 5 days	Estimated current ICU need per 100k population	Estimated total affected population percentage
🇵🇸 West Bank and Gaza	13.5%	24.0%	3,467	0.58	0.2%
🇲🇦 Morocco	5.9%	10.5%	3,848	0.25	0.1%
🇭🇷 Croatia	9.3%	13.6%	1,013	0.94	0.3%
🇲🇷 Mauritania	4.3%	8.6%	6,087	0.61	1.3%
🇳🇪 Niger	1.7%	5.5%	233	0.00	0.1%
🇱🇷 Liberia	3.8%	7.5%	1,350	0.07	0.4%
🇨🇴 Colombia	5.7%	9.4%	114,524	2.67	1.7%
🇨🇳 China	3.3%	6.1%	423	0.00	0.0%
🇨🇩 Congo (Kinshasa)	3.6%	5.9%	4,459	0.03	0.1%
🇨🇮 Cote d'Ivoire	5.0%	7.2%	3,704	0.17	0.1%
🇭🇳 Honduras	7.1%	9.2%	34,105	1.94	2.4%

Tip: Click country name in legend to switch countries. Uze mouse wheel to zoom Y axis.

ICU need

⭕ Bad news: higher ICU need 🇰🇿 🇺🇸 🇮🇱 🇵🇦 🇧🇷 🇦🇲 🇱🇺 🇧🇦 🇿🇦 🇬🇶 🇦🇷 🇷🇸 🇨🇷 🇸🇪 🇭🇷 🇴🇲 🇭🇳 🇨🇴 🇧🇴 🇧🇬 🇲🇰 🇰🇬 🇩🇴 🇧🇭

Large increases in need for ICU beds per 100k population vs. 10 days ago.

Only countries for which the ICU need increased by more than 0.5 (per 100k).

	Current: Estimated ICU need per 100k population	10 days ago: Estimated ICU need per 100k population	Estimated recent cases in last 5 days	Estimated daily transmission rate	Estimated total affected population percentage
🇰🇿 Kazakhstan	4.70	0.91	41,035	34.1%	0.5%
🇺🇸 US	8.99	6.42	1,084,848	7.2%	4.6%
🇮🇱 Israel	3.19	1.38	7,036	10.7%	0.7%
🇵🇦 Panama	8.45	6.74	12,914	6.0%	3.4%
🇧🇷 Brazil	8.44	6.74	1,308,828	6.3%	5.7%
🇦🇲 Armenia	11.79	10.10	5,952	4.9%	2.6%
🇱🇺 Luxembourg	2.49	0.85	550	10.9%	2.1%
🇧🇦 Bosnia	2.70	1.36	2,966	11.7%	0.7%
🇿🇦 South Africa	2.95	1.75	197,306	8.5%	1.9%
🇬🇶 Equatorial Guinea	1.19	0.30	13,254	25.4%	3.1%
🇦🇷 Argentina	2.62	1.75	38,558	7.0%	0.6%
🇷🇸 Serbia	1.70	0.83	2,535	9.2%	0.4%
🇨🇷 Costa Rica	1.45	0.61	1,042	11.1%	0.1%
🇸🇪 Sweden	10.31	9.50	26,093	6.3%	5.0%
🇭🇷 Croatia	0.94	0.19	1,013	9.3%	0.3%
🇴🇲 Oman	4.60	3.87	9,749	5.8%	1.8%
🇭🇳 Honduras	1.94	1.25	34,105	7.1%	2.4%
🇨🇴 Colombia	2.67	1.99	114,524	5.7%	1.7%
🇧🇴 Bolivia	3.24	2.57	42,183	6.3%	2.9%
🇧🇬 Bulgaria	1.58	1.03	2,906	8.0%	0.4%
🇲🇰 North Macedonia	4.74	4.19	3,834	5.3%	2.2%
🇰🇬 Kyrgyzstan	1.02	0.47	7,600	10.4%	0.5%
🇩🇴 Dominican Republic	2.47	1.94	16,852	6.3%	1.7%
🇧🇭 Bahrain	7.63	7.10	2,844	5.3%	2.2%

Tip: Click country name in legend to switch countries. Uze mouse wheel to zoom Y axis.